Come Watson, The Game is Afoot

Come Watson, The Game is Afoot

Today is general elections in the UK. I haven't looked, heard of or scried in my crystal ball as to who is getting the votes.

Instead, I'll look at this from the perspective of game theory. Apologies for not remembering the Liberal Democrat's name and admittedly I don't know any British political party's platform. For this argument, it doesn't matter.

The candidates are Gordon Brown (incumbant)(GB), David Cameron (DC) and what's is name.
Scenario: Britian is effectively broke and a large percentage of its populace is on redundancy pay (British equivalent of unemployment). Britian is on a dual monetary standard, pounds and Euros. Credit exposure is in the same league per capita as the US.

If the Brits vote Brown, nothing will change.

If for Cameron, not much changes.

If what's 'is name gets a large percentage of votes and not neccessarily wins, changes will transpire.

So here come human nature. If a country is at war, the incumbant wins. If the economy is doing poorly, the opposition wins.

If it looks like complete doom and gloom, the third party skims off some votes.
Brown and Cameron are mainstream political party hacks. Their parties have been the effective power in Britian. They are flip-sides of the same coin.

Britian has been involved in Iraq and Afghanistan. We mustn't forget that Britian has effectively gone into economic warfare against Wall Street and the entire world banking establishments. You gotta name the enemy.

So here are the probable outcomes in order:

#1 Brown will lose by a slender margin. Cameron will win by a slim margin. The Liberal Democrats will get a few more seats in Parliment.
Six months from now, the coalition goverment will collapse.

#2 Brown wins by a slim margin.
Liberal Democrats get a few more seats and coalition government fails in a few months.

#3 Lastly and the 100-1 odds against, the Liberal Democrats win.
Coalition government fails in less than six months.

Failure is not an option, it is inevitable. Government produces nothing. It is a ravenous consumer of wealth. Wealth is the force behind productivity. The problem arises when wealth takes flight out of the production sector.
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So why this blog? The US is European. We are the prodigal step-child of Europe. To put this in perspective, the national language, English, won out over German by one vote. Furthermore, the US has refused to make English the "Official" language by law.

Ergo, as goes Britian so will go the U.S.A. come November.

People are afraid and will almost always vote the devil they know. The swing votes will make the difference and those votes will be cast for wealth protection. And even these votes will be split. The unemployed will vote for redundancy pay. Big money will vote for bail-outs. It is all about the voter's pocket-book.

Welcome to the "Brave New World Disorder."

Watson, the game is afoot and I have to place my bet.